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Crown Green Handicap

Kathryn Mccasey

Team: Bromborough RecsDivision: Division ALast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

858

Current Handicap

NQ

Needs 1 more match(es)

Honours
Season:

9

Matches Played

3

Wins

6

Losses

33%

Win Rate

3.7

Avg Win Margin

10.8

Avg Loss Margin

3-4

Home Record

0-2

Away Record

80%

Handicap Confidence

Provisional
9 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 5/14/2026

The handicap is built on a small recent sample (9 matches so far). It is deliberately conservative and will move as more results come in.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 9 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

15 May3 Jun24 Jun3 Jul8 Jul15 Jul24 Jul14 May-12510

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(35%)
33%
score-0.33→contribution-0.12
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
3.7
score-0.72→contribution-0.17
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
10.8
score-0.47→contribution-0.07
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
33%
score-0.33→contribution-0.03
Opponent Strength(15%)
1017
score-0.33→contribution-0.05
Weighted Score-0.445
Sample Size Confidence
80%(9/33 matches)
Rating822 → shrunk 858
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)858
Recency Blend12% (9 recent matches)
Final Rating858
Handicap
NQ

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

3W6L9 matches·33.3% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Bromborough Recs2025–2026Division A93633.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
5/14/2026Graham EllisonH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision A
8/5/2025Brian HanlonH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision A
7/24/2025Ray LynchH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision A
7/15/2025Jaxon McelnayH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision A
7/8/2025Kevin ExellA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision A
7/3/2025Peter McgheeH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision A
6/24/2025Michael WishartH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision A
6/3/2025Tom HowardA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision A
5/15/2025John SheenH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision A
Leverhulme Cup1 games · 0W
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundRobbie DeanArno Tixall7-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

5losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 1033% win rate↓ declining
LLLLLWWLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Graham Ellison0110%5/14/2026
Brian Hanlon0110%8/5/2025
Ray Lynch0110%7/24/2025
Jaxon Mcelnay0110%7/15/2025
Kevin Exell0110%7/8/2025
Peter Mcghee101100%7/3/2025
Michael Wishart101100%6/24/2025
Tom Howard0110%6/3/2025
John Sheen101100%5/15/2025
Biggest Win
John Sheen (+5)5/15/2025
Heaviest Defeat
Ray Lynch (-17)7/24/2025
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
75% → 0%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
10179 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-420% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
2-250% win rate
Division A33.3%
3W·6L·9 played

Debut

May 15, 2025

Latest

May 14, 2026

Seasons Active

2 (12 mo span)

Matches / Season

4.5 (9 total)

Seasons

20252026